Daily Briefing

Key Takeaways

• Russia launched its largest overnight attack on Kyiv in weeks — 24 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles, 4 Zircon/Onyx anti-ship missiles, and 115 drones — killing at least 15 people and wounding 50+; Ukrainian air defenses failed to intercept a single ballistic missile, reportedly due to depleted Patriot interceptor stocks.
• The strike systematically targeted civilian logistics infrastructure: Epicentr's two key distribution hubs and its ceramic factory (2-year rebuild estimate), Nova Poshta terminal, Rozetka, Novus, Fozzy, and Silpo warehouses, plus a 20-story residential building in Obolonskyi district.
• US ATACMS and PrSM stockpiles are nearly exhausted following the Iran war, with ~50% of global Tomahawk inventory also expended — a critical long-term risk to Ukraine's deep-strike capability.
• Ukraine struck the 16th Wildberries warehouse in under three weeks, hitting a 190,000 sq m logistics center in Aleksin, Tula Oblast, as part of a broader SBU-led 40-day coercion campaign claiming 100+ strategic targets hit inside Russia.
• Ukrainian intelligence warns of a possible Russian offensive through Chernihiv Oblast, which could force costly Ukrainian redeployments away from active fronts.