Daily Briefing

Key Takeaways

• Ukraine's maritime drone campaign reached a new scale, with 76+ Russian shadow fleet vessels claimed struck in the Azov Sea over six days, forcing Russia to suspend Don–Azov canal navigation and halt Kerch Strait transit applications — disrupting roughly 25% of Russian wheat export routes (16 sources corroborated on canal closure).
• Russia struck Kyiv with ballistic missiles on July 11 for the third time in 10 days, injuring at least 12 including two children; Zelensky confirmed Ukraine has been unable to intercept ballistic missiles for nine consecutive days due to a total Patriot interceptor deficit.
• Ukrainian drones struck the Syzran oil refinery (Rosneft, Samara Oblast) this morning, damaging the AVT-5 primary distillation unit responsible for ~30% of the plant's crude processing capacity and igniting large fires.
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov publicly acknowledged the conflict is now a 'full-scale war' and demanded Ukraine withdraw from all Russian-claimed territories and recognize annexations — while Ukrainian intelligence warned Russia is preparing general mobilization for autumn 2026.
• Dutch intelligence revealed Russian hackers compromised civilian surveillance cameras near NATO military transit routes to monitor weapons deliveries to Ukraine (6 sources corroborated).